We checked 17 economics journals on Friday, December 12, 2025 using the Crossref API. For the period December 05 to December 11, we retrieved 17 new paper(s) in 6 journal(s).

Economic Journal

Building Interpretable Climate Emulators for Economics
Aryan Eftekhari, Doris Folini, Aleksandra Friedl, Felix KĂĽbler, Simon Scheidegger, Olaf Schenk
Full text
We introduce a framework for developing efficient and interpretable climate emulators (CEs) for economic models of climate change. The paper makes two main contributions. First, we propose a general framework for constructing carbon-cycle emulators (CCEs) for macroeconomic models. The framework is implemented as a generalized linear multi-reservoir (box) model that conserves key physical quantities and can be customized for specific applications. We consider three versions of the CCE, which we evaluate within a simple representative agent economic model: (i) a three-box setting comparable to DICE-2016, (ii) a four-box extension, and (iii) a four-box version that explicitly captures land-use change. While the three-box model reproduces benchmark results well and the fourth reservoir adds little, incorporating the impact of land-use change on the carbon storage capacity of the terrestrial biosphere substantially alters atmospheric carbon stocks, temperature trajectories, and the optimal mitigation path. Second, we investigate pattern-scaling techniques that transform global-mean temperature projections from CEs into spatially heterogeneous warming fields. We show how regional baseline climates, non-uniform warming, and the associated uncertainties propagate into economic damages.
Nonlinear Monetary Policy Tradeoffs
Davide Debortoli, Mario Forni, Luca Gambetti, Luca Sala
Full text
We measure the inflation-unemployment tradeoff associated with monetary easing and tightening, during booms and recessions, using a novel nonlinear Proxy-SVAR approach. We find evidence of significant nonlinearities for the U.S. economy (1973:M1 - 2019:M6): stimulating economic activity during recessions is associated with minimal costs in terms of inflation, and reducing inflation during booms delivers small costs in terms of unemployment. These results can be rationalized by a simple model with downward nominal wage rigidities, which is also used to assess the validity of our empirical approach.
The Media and Foreign Powers: Does Market Access Matter for News Reporting?
Heng Chen, Li Han
Full text
Does news media coverage of autocracies hinge on their relationship with those regimes? Exploiting a large-scale media crackdown in May 2019 in China, in which multiple influential UK- and US-based news sites were blocked, we find that news outlets adopted a more negative tone in their coverage of China and reported more frequently on sensitive topics such as human rights, after being blocked, compared to those with no access change. Such effects are absent in news on economic topics and opinion articles. We investigate several mechanisms underlying these findings, including reduced self-censorship, diminished journalistic resources, and changes in readership composition after losing access.

European Economic Review

Timing of school entry and personality traits in adulthood
Anton Barabasch, Kamila Cygan-Rehm, Andreas Leibing
Full text
On robustness of average inflation targeting
Seppo Honkapohja, Nigel Mcclung
Full text
Pricing and incentives in the housing market
André K. Anundsen, Plamen Nenov, Erling Røed Larsen, Dag Einar Sommervoll
Full text
Preferences for income and wealth limits: Evidence from a survey experiment
JoĂŁo V. Ferreira, Stratos Ramoglou, Foivos Savva, Michael Vlassopoulos
Full text

Journal of Econometrics

Identification of incomplete information allocation-transfer games in monotone equilibrium
Brendan Kline
Full text
Non-Parametric identification of stationary dynamic discrete choicemodels
Adam Dearing
Full text
Quantile approach to intertemporal consumption with multiple assets
Luciano de Castro, Antonio F. Galvao, Hirofumi Ota
Full text
Decomposition and interpretation of treatment effects in settings with delayed outcomes
Federico A. Bugni, Ivan A. Canay, Steve McBride
Full text
Inference for time-varying factor models under local stationarity
Weichi Wu, Zhou Zhou, Yongmiao Hong
Full text

Journal of Public Economics

Generic title: Not a research article
Editorial Board
Full text
Time preferences and food choice
Andy Brownback, Alex Imas, Michael A. Kuhn
Full text

Journal of the European Economic Association

From Sea to Shore: The Impact of Ocean Acidification on Child Health,
Alex Armand, Iván Kim Taveras
Full text
Since the Industrial Revolution, ocean water acidity has risen by 26% due to anthropogenic emissions—a process known as ocean acidification—posing a risk for marine life and the communities depending on it. This paper examines the consequences of ocean acidification for child health, using data from coastal regions in 36 low- and middle-income countries from 1972 to 2018, encompassing 41% of the world’s coastal population. Leveraging short-term exogenous shifts in ocean acidity near human settlements for identification, we find that prenatal exposure to higher water acidity significantly raises the risk of death in the first months of life and impacts early childhood development. We show evidence consistent with these effects being associated with maternal malnutrition, as increased acidity reduces catches for small-scale fisheries, increasing seafood prices and reducing consumption of crucial nutrients. Our findings indicate limited adaptation to these impacts. We estimate that, absent intervention, ocean acidification could contribute to as many as 77 million neonatal deaths in this region by 2100—a consequence that should not be ignored in the projected cost of climate change.
The Role of Caseworkers: Job Finding, Job Quality and Determinants of Value-Added,
Jonas Cederlöf, Martin Söderström, Johan Vikström
Full text
We study the importance of caseworkers and their role in supporting unemployed job seekers. By exploiting as-if random variation, arising from job seekers in Sweden being assigned to caseworkers based on their date of birth, we estimate caseworker value-added along several dimensions. We show that caseworkers have meaningful effects on both job seekers’ time in unemployment and subsequent job quality. These effects also impact job seekers’ long-run outcomes. We find only weak trade-offs between different dimensions of value added. Leveraging detailed administrative data on both caseworkers and job seekers, we document that experienced caseworkers perform better than their less experienced counterparts. Caseworker work-strategies are important in determining value added, and matching caseworkers to job seekers based on previous labor-market experiences lead to better outcomes.

The Quarterly Journal of Economics

Who’s Afraid of the Minimum Wage? Measuring the Impacts on Independent Businesses Using Matched U.S. Tax Returns
Nirupama Rao, Max Risch
Full text
A common concern surrounding minimum wage policies is their impact on independent businesses, which are often feared to be less able to bear or pass on cost increases. We examine how these typically small- and medium-size firms accommodate minimum wage increases along product and labor market margins using a matched owner-firm-worker panel dataset drawn from the universe of U.S. tax records over a 10-year period, and using state minimum wage changes as identifying variation. We find that, on average, firms in highly exposed industries do not substantially reduce employment — they do not layoff workers but moderately reduce part-time hiring. Instead, these firms are able to fully finance the new labor costs with new revenues, leaving average owner profits unchanged. Higher wage floors, however, forestall entry, particularly of less productive firms, reducing the number of independent firms operating in these industries by roughly 2%. Yet, these industries do not shrink; instead, incumbent responses and strong positive selection among entrants reshape industries that rely heavily on low-wage workers, yielding fewer but more productive firms after the cost shock. We also take a worker-level perspective to examine how potentially vulnerable individuals are affected by minimum wage increases. Using panels of low-earning and young workers, we find that their average earnings rise substantially with the minimum wage, while they are no less likely to be employed. Worker transitions indicate that minimum wage increases boost retention and that worker reallocation from independent firms toward corporations buffers disemployment impacts from reduced hiring at independent firms.
Marginal Returns to Public Universities
Jack Mountjoy
Full text
This paper studies the returns to enrolling in American public universities by comparing the long-term outcomes of barely admitted versus barely rejected applicants. I use administrative admission records spanning all 35 public universities in Texas, which collectively enroll 10 percent of all American public university students, to systematically identify and employ decentralized cutoffs in SAT/ACT scores that generate discontinuities in admission and enrollment. The typical marginally admitted student gains an additional year of education in the four-year sector, becomes 12 percentage points more likely to ever earn a bachelor’s degree, and eventually earns 8 percent more than their marginally rejected but otherwise identical counterpart. Marginally admitted students pay no additional tuition costs thanks to offsetting grant aid; cost-benefit calculations show internal rates of return of 26 percent for the marginal students themselves, 16 percent for society (which must pay for the additional education), and 7 percent for the government budget. Earnings gains are similar across admitting institutions of varying selectivity, but smaller for students from low-income families, who spend more time enrolled but complete fewer degrees and major in less lucrative fields. Finally, I develop a method to separately identify effects for students on the extensive margin of attending any university versus those on the margin of attending a more selective one, revealing larger effects on the extensive margin.